Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa136cda45f40bd1e95ba3f59f374901108c9f1375f79104b10d2669719eacc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof NRG, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked NRG | 35c | 5,491$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed NRG | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked NRG | 35c | 1,704$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed FUT Esports | 48c | 1,681$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.31 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked NRG | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FUT Esports | 64c | 887.98$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed NRG | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ca…fb01backed FUT Esports | 48c | 827.79$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed FUT Esports | 66c | 561.39$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed NRG | 35c | 554.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed FUT Esports | 65c | 504.82$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked NRG | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed FUT Esports | 64c | 488.74$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked FUT Esports | 65c | 433.85$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed NRG | 36c | 411.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 334.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.01 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 182.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FUT Esports | 48c | 180$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked NRG | 36c | 116.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked NRG | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed FUT Esports | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed FUT Esports | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf1…ffbdbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed NRG | 55c | 45.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -6.1wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports | 65c | 40.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 38.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed FUT Esports | 45c | 35.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed NRG | 35c | 34.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FUT Esports | 43c | 32.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed FUT Esports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.