Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f2ae3e9ae5bb037a9ef55942a1b6d53497dd50723bbe5a2b0cfb728afb5fe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 50c | 40,000$19,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,154.15 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 22,638$11,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,418.42 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 12,205$6,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.59 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 52c | 3,879$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.43 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Under | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 1,674$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.08 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 946.53$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.1 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 53c | 613.18$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Over | 48c | 290.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 52c | 240.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fc…53cbbacked Over | 55c | 180.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 177.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 42c | 175.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 51c | 117.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Under | 50c | 98.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 43c | 65.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 48c | 58.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 57.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 49c | 49.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Under | 64c | 38.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -6.1wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0b…3284backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Under | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 63c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.