TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Team Falcons, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit66c12,208$8,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.5742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Team Falcons34c11,600$3,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,943.994139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons35c5,824$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.4414954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Spirit65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9772046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Spirit66c2,955$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.552744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit72c2,863$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.963,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Team Falcons35c2,762$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.6918547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons34c2,113$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.381,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Spirit65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7009047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Spirit65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9818752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Team Falcons33c1,705$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4910142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spirit66c1,499$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Spirit65c1,420$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.841457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b9…bdf4backed Team Falcons34c1,412$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.26036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Team Falcons22c1,319$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.479852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons33c1,253$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7650254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Spirit66c980.83$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5878963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Spirit65c975.81$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.5323852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit65c888$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.81,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons34c730.5$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.375,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons47c612.85$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5336450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Spirit67c597.92$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3131451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Falcons35c576.6$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8113442.5%57 W · 77 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Team Falcons35c549.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.27350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Spirit57c524.51$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.098862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Team Falcons34c458$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7213049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons34c430.94$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5142845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit74c427.42$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.372,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Team Falcons35c413.23$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6331345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit76c373.12$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.482,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons29c307.95$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1485946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…791bbacked Team Falcons35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-75.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Team Falcons35c260.46$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1620744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons35c240.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0949245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Team Falcons35c205.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0825941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit65c200.24$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.41,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Spirit65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Team Falcons34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6829153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Spirit63c195.6$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3723245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Team Falcons34c192.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3150340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Spirit67c190.22$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7745162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Spirit75c174.34$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.342864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe71f…09f2backed Team Falcons35c166.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.394647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Team Falcons35c165.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.648359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Team Falcons35c164.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6614853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…b7abbacked Spirit67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.283060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Team Falcons34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.026552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Team Falcons35c138.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3318748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Spirit61c137.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8150947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Team Falcons34c132.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.141,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Team Falcons27c130.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3125845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ce…8945backed Team Falcons37c129.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.121275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Spirit66c125.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7321463.6%136 W · 78 L-0.7wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed Team Falcons35c124.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.713950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked Team Falcons35c123.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.252360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Spirit66c118.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.372560%15 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Spirit65c116.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0538848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Spirit65c106.37$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2318352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Falcons35c105.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Spirit69c100.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3146142.7%197 W · 264 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Spirit65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Spirit67c96.26$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.777758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Team Falcons34c83.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Spirit64c80.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.974156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Spirit57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.259447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2caf…8684backed Team Falcons37c72.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Team Falcons35c68.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.037950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spirit69c67.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5305…57e8backed Team Falcons35c67.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Spirit78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.927650%38 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Spirit71c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.77944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed Spirit67c50.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5712273.8%90 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Spirit76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128145.7%37 W · 44 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Team Falcons35c49.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.330831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ae…61f5backed Team Falcons35c46.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.313145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Spirit68c45.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7148566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf0…ab54backed Team Falcons35c43.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.384332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed Team Falcons39c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4511350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Falcons30c34.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.472,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Team Falcons34c33.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5576248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Spirit78c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9613350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked Team Falcons35c30.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…8869backed Spirit65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.515460.4%93 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b5…93cfbacked Team Falcons35c29.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Spirit67c20.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7633456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Spirit55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919453.1%103 W · 91 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Spirit77c19.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5927556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Spirit66c19.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6617041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3930…e8e6backed Spirit66c18.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.