CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2938179aa1f3b3d3b04d181a415f0978561ba1d6c793164f6cd56553e157fd44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Team Falcons, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit | 66c | 12,208$8,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.57 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Team Falcons | 34c | 11,600$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.99 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 5,824$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.44 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Spirit | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.97 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Spirit | 66c | 2,955$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 72c | 2,863$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Team Falcons | 35c | 2,762$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.69 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons | 34c | 2,113$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.38 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Spirit | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Spirit | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Team Falcons | 33c | 1,705$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.49 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Spirit | 66c | 1,499$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.79 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,420$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Team Falcons | 22c | 1,319$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 33c | 1,253$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.76 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Spirit | 66c | 980.83$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.58 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Spirit | 65c | 975.81$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.53 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 65c | 888$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons | 34c | 730.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons | 47c | 612.85$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Spirit | 67c | 597.92$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.31 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 576.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Team Falcons | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Spirit | 57c | 524.51$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Team Falcons | 34c | 458$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons | 34c | 430.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 74c | 427.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Team Falcons | 35c | 413.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 76c | 373.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 29c | 307.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…791bbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 260.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 240.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Falcons | 35c | 205.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit | 65c | 200.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Spirit | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Team Falcons | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Spirit | 63c | 195.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Team Falcons | 34c | 192.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Spirit | 67c | 190.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Spirit | 75c | 174.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Team Falcons | 35c | 166.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Team Falcons | 35c | 165.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Team Falcons | 35c | 164.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…b7abbacked Spirit | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Team Falcons | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Team Falcons | 35c | 138.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Spirit | 61c | 137.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Team Falcons | 34c | 132.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Team Falcons | 27c | 130.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Team Falcons | 37c | 129.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Spirit | 66c | 125.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 214 | 63.6%136 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Team Falcons | 35c | 124.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 123.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Spirit | 66c | 118.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Spirit | 65c | 116.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Spirit | 65c | 106.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Spirit | 69c | 100.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spirit | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Spirit | 67c | 96.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Team Falcons | 34c | 83.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Spirit | 64c | 80.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Spirit | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2caf…8684backed Team Falcons | 37c | 72.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Team Falcons | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spirit | 69c | 67.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Team Falcons | 35c | 67.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Spirit | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Spirit | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Spirit | 67c | 50.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Spirit | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Team Falcons | 35c | 49.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…61f5backed Team Falcons | 35c | 46.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Spirit | 68c | 45.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Team Falcons | 35c | 43.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Team Falcons | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Falcons | 30c | 34.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Falcons | 34c | 33.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Spirit | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked Team Falcons | 35c | 30.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Spirit | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 154 | 60.4%93 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…93cfbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 29.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Spirit | 67c | 20.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Spirit | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 194 | 53.1%103 W · 91 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Spirit | 77c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Spirit | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…e8e6backed Spirit | 66c | 18.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.