CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfb4d707503d7c0d285b1ccf779c9f9d08904f937cc3a19bfbaba5da778672b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 58c | 1,683$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.35 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 72c | 982.36$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8654…6bfebacked Under | 74c | 885.14$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 57c | 699.95$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…27c3backed Over | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Over | 42c | 614.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 25c | 614.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.74 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 22c | 520.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 24c | 515.4$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Under | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Under | 78c | 494.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 29c | 426.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 14c | 316.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 42c | 299.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Under | 58c | 253.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed Over | 23c | 238.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 56c | 229.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 32c | 206.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 56c | 199.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Under | 69c | 196.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 178.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Over | 43c | 157.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…42fabacked Over | 43c | 139.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 58c | 120.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 13c | 116.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Over | 44c | 115.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…12c1backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 12c | 106.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 11c | 105.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…77ddbacked Over | 43c | 98.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 56c | 95.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 77c | 90.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…2538backed Over | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Over | 24c | 81.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 43c | 74.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 58c | 73.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 77c | 72.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 65c | 72.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 24c | 71.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Under | 66c | 65.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…75a9backed Under | 70c | 63.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…be12backed Under | 72c | 62.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa6…1b56backed Over | 44c | 59.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a3…1521backed Over | 44c | 59.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 42c | 52.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed Over | 25c | 52.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…beeabacked Under | 77c | 49.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…405abacked Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…7328backed Over | 34c | 43.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked Over | 43c | 40.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked Over | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02a…9f2dbacked Over | 44c | 38.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Under | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…37ddbacked Over | 43c | 33.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Under | 76c | 29.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…1a44backed Over | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Under | 58c | 24.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…1d1abacked Under | 78c | 24.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed Over | 44c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5761…b74cbacked Under | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 73c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…d923backed Under | 57c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…d1aabacked Under | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.7wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…e0a5backed Under | 77c | 17.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 70c | 15.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Under | 75c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Under | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.