Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b26ff379561078eab4dd9650d965ba006f836e31839c44ef0db3d3067dbfd63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed No | 75c | 45,412$33,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,872.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 24c | 36,974$9,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,920.35 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3281…abefbacked Yes | 11c | 29,687$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,421.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +497.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 27c | 23,112$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,886.55 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 17,004$12,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,638.98 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 74c | 14,264$10,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,506.47 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 14,098$10,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,469.84 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 33c | 12,155$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,097.93 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 10,878$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,150.08 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 74c | 9,489$7,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050.67 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed Yes | 32c | 9,463$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,451.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 23c | 8,767$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.38 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 11c | 7,054$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,278.38 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 10c | 6,422$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.13 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 6,372$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.53 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…8d48backed Yes | 12c | 6,107$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Yes | 21c | 4,906$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.34 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 4,572$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.7 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 1c | 4,238$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 34c | 3,550$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.54 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 3,415$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.25 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,223$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.3 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 55c | 3,081$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 33c | 3,034$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.23 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes | 10c | 2,848$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.98 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +336.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 74c | 2,615$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Yes | 19c | 2,431$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.79 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 2,357$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 52c | 2,162$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.66 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 2,133$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.02 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Yes | 12c | 2,059$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…1a89backed Yes | 35c | 2,058$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.53 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 48c | 2,015$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.56 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,991$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.01 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 41c | 1,846$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 56c | 1,833$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.82 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.02 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 47c | 1,792$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.04 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 64c | 1,731$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.27 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,653$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 51c | 1,546$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.31 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 74c | 1,432$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…9ac0backed Yes | 12c | 1,429$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 58c | 1,418$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.57 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 49c | 1,374$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.86 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…4382backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.64 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,340$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 1,308$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.31 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 39c | 1,257$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.89 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,188$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.68 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 23c | 1,077$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.29 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 46c | 1,036$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.57 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 73c | 1,035$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.28 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 58c | 1,026$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.83 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…46ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…addbbacked Yes | 18c | 952.37$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.94 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…e9fcbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…a74fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…de75backed Yes | 11c | 870$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 11c | 836.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.99 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…b05ebacked Yes | 11c | 827.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…e75fbacked Yes | 24c | 817.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 78c | 806.82$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 17c | 772.24$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.32 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…f899backed Yes | 23c | 755$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 10c | 719.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.19 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…ef8bbacked Yes | 43c | 717.37$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 23c | 710.53$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.67 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…6866backed Yes | 22c | 638$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc892…aaf1backed Yes | 17c | 577.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…d40cbacked Yes | 18c | 544.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 22c | 534.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…2f60backed Yes | 10c | 525$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 78c | 514.4$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.23 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 36c | 514.28$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.63 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb151…1ab0backed Yes | 19c | 510.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…e3b2backed Yes | 12c | 506.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.67 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 44c | 506.27$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.49 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…0cddbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…e801backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…6bcebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 6c | 473.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 12c | 429$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.52 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Yes | 9c | 421.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…7fbdbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…d4f9backed Yes | 33c | 400$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…943dbacked Yes | 10c | 389.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +286.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…4897backed Yes | 23c | 387.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 12c | 378.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 366$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 11c | 360$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 12c | 360$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd15…0028backed Yes | 12c | 355.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Spain to score first vs. Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.