Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d52e1a3e55ec1b86737b9f6c0d93d0711b9aef7da3edbacd48b99b5783f110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 15c | 23,597$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 6,100$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,441$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 13c | 4,135$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 14c | 3,642$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.3 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 16c | 2,108$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.28 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,031$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 1,607$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…d5f2backed Yes | 5c | 1,253$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 14c | 1,143$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 17c | 1,088$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 690.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 16c | 578.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 15c | 555$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…bcdfbacked Yes | 15c | 339.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 273.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 259.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Yes | 13c | 246.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 19c | 231.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 15c | 230.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 13c | 221.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 17c | 178$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 12c | 157.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 13c | 153.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 149.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes | 8c | 133.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…2813backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 11c | 121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…ad9abacked Yes | 14c | 113.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…3639backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 15c | 106.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed Yes | 15c | 104.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…dbc3backed Yes | 17c | 88.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 16c | 72.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.