TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c53,852$23,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,346.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No73c31,588$23,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,528.674247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c27,458$12,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,723.031,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes27c8,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No74c6,262$4,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.161776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes42c3,860$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No73c3,295$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No58c2,816$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.218457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c2,654$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.7768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes39c2,556$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.3734643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c2,376$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.7498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.7511772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd5b4…9785backed No61c2,280$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.041540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c2,276$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.0748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes46c2,188$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes31c1,947$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.439046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.344656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c1,353$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3137250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes27c1,292$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.848463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No73c1,083$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.413548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No75c1,073$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.423661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No76c999.98$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9924953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c859.34$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0822947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No76c840$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.61947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5566…a752backed No62c806.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No60c795.45$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1811153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No77c650.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0219549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes27c611.45$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No75c599.99$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes30c585$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.411964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes27c507.4$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No50c500$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes27c466.67$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No73c441$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.071968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No73c440.5$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+92.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No59c437.87$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5717529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes36c405.56$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1467830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c380$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c374.93$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No60c351.29$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.364656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a5…eff8backed Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No58c256.15$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.554866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.953060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c196$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes27c188.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7816448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No70c177.43$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6831738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Yes24c172.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.382365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No63c165.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3415045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No62c161.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.55764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.56048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed No73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c133.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.783773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes15c129.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed No72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No73c118.62$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5723353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…5685backed Yes24c116.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes24c114.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5920741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7866…8645backed Yes33c111$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed No75c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes37c106.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.376428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59b…3c66backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No79c95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c90.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.932150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No65c89.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes34c87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5810039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No73c84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.682347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.920841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe0…e3e0backed No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No62c78.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.124849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Yes28c76.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.422770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d73…3639backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac14…f155backed Yes51c70.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed No76c60.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c37…9e0cbacked Yes26c59.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No65c56.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.92580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes24c55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e5…260cbacked Yes38c54.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.552250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x181d…c7e8backed Yes44c52.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No75c46.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6410451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.