La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c77a2da2fdff454ba87fa5093704638feed984a0cec0f0b63edd3111691fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 7,357$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.84 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 67c | 6,050$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,000$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.94 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 12c | 2,486$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,412$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 2,269$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.04 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 2,169$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.05 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 33c | 1,176$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…0d3bbacked Yes | 34c | 940$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 847.77$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.49 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 34c | 846.93$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.49 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 12c | 812.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…b502backed No | 66c | 790$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…f6b2backed Yes | 34c | 780$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 703$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 65c | 699.98$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 560.26$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 67c | 518$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 35c | 505$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 34c | 495.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed No | 68c | 473.53$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…4b3ebacked No | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 435.59$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 34c | 406.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 67c | 406.57$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 34c | 367.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…70bbbacked No | 66c | 330$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 258.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 246.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 185.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 33c | 165$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 155.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…f025backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 126.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 35c | 121.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 76c | 120.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Yes | 25c | 100.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…2dddbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 93.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 87.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…9822backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 68.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 34c | 63.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…bf0bbacked Yes | 23c | 62.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Yes | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…d433backed Yes | 36c | 60.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…d417backed Yes | 37c | 57.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes | 37c | 53.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 65c | 47.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…a082backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2a56backed Yes | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…01d2backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 39.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 66c | 32.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…9b7bbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…2d29backed No | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…33bebacked No | 64c | 24.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 66c | 21.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 68c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.