Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc31048b46f270afaadb1b6025699c74c8891f0ab0e76be964ae948c9df52f1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 3,112$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.73 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,170$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 40c | 704.18$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.67 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 60c | 650$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 39c | 639.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 60c | 636.71$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.68 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 562.5$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 41c | 499.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 40c | 491.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 41c | 465.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 420.45$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 307.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 24c | 238.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 40c | 131.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 41c | 82.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 41c | 81.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 41c | 60.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 52.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 29c | 45.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 37c | 43.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 33c | 37.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 62c | 33.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…40b8backed Yes | 38c | 31.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 37c | 29.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 42c | 27.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 21.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.