Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1d35c209fa6827608d7c3be55bc4af6c5a3cdc6e2f9ce922ad470b03c9f3f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 53c | 4,137$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.75 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 3,560$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.87 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,501$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 9c | 1,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 16c | 621.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 29c | 528.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.79 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 464.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 56c | 411.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Yes | 44c | 406.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 335.66$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 14c | 185.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 62c | 152.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 124.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 103.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 27c | 101.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 98.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 90.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 41c | 82.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 60c | 61.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 58.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 34c | 55.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Yes | 24c | 52.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +318.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18df…fa22backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 50.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 54c | 45.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 40c | 45.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 67c | 40.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 50c | 40.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 72c | 28.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 75cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 44c | 27.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Yes | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 51c | 26.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 54c | 25.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 20.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 64c | 20.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 59c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?No won
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.