Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aabb3c19743dcfffe2d5ad1911f12a93135aa2fc3a2cec14ae0c40567614cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 43c | 24,939$10,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,723.77 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 46c | 19,225$8,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,842.48 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 7c | 8,346$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.24 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 54c | 7,159$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 54c | 6,295$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.55 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 5,772$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.85 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 48c | 5,548$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.02 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 3,577$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.27 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 2,839$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.96 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 2,673$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.39 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 2,379$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 51c | 2,286$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 2c | 1,896$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Yes | 54c | 1,469$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 1,400$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.08 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 1,363$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.25 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 1,293$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 870.81$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.9 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 54c | 655.44$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 51c | 451.21$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.09 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 61c | 433.2$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 399.66$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 382.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 11c | 374.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 55c | 361.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed No | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…0076backed No | 46c | 321.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 43c | 236.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed No | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 66c | 152.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 55c | 108.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed No | 49c | 91.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed No | 47c | 87.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 44c | 75.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Yes | 69c | 74.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes | 56c | 70.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 46c | 69.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 45c | 66.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 60.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 48c | 54.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked No | 48c | 53.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…b1b4backed No | 29c | 49.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…1c59backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Yes | 55c | 44.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed No | 48c | 41.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 55c | 40.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 58c | 40.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 45c | 37.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…c7a7backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…d675backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…7589backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 47c | 26.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…88a3backed Yes | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.