Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f6eb7065b5f6cb03af20773f4a3a103c1d7cb454e7a110b19a4ee2f420f013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 9,157$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 46c | 3,502$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.4 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 2,574$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,421$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.34 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 64c | 2,163$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.88 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 53c | 1,867$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,627$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 995$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.3 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 55c | 995$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.25 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 673$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.51 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 33c | 605$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 46c | 423.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 37c | 404.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked No | 25c | 395.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 55c | 385$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 338.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 54c | 278.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8c7ebacked Yes | 44c | 212.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 24c | 208.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 195.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 46c | 188.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Yes | 36c | 166.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Yes | 41c | 147.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 37c | 136.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 66c | 85.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 57c | 65.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 37c | 49.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 43.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 46c | 43.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 37c | 42.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…7facbacked Yes | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 46c | 40.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…bac5backed Yes | 37c | 40.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Yes | 40c | 37.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 53c | 34.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 57c | 32.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 37c | 28.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 37c | 27.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 24.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 65c | 17.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.