Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd61f6137135bda80718e2e21654073ab0364d096de8f248ac30e714ccd3cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 5,098$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.56 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 74c | 3,205$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.54 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 3,022$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.35 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 72c | 384.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 336.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 260.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 178.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 74c | 105.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 30c | 83.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…e881backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.