Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f58614d38120b119891f47fbca5a6526615eaba403e5534ab5e15da681f34d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 30,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 60c | 14,931$8,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,972.4 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 7,420$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.26 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…5295backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 65c | 1,965$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.81 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,835$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.71 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 1,523$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 1,163$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 59c | 430.26$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 333.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 16c | 333$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 42c | 298.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 245$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 18c | 199.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 62c | 160.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 60c | 113.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 58c | 100.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 64.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…422dbacked Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 51c | 42.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…04cebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 67c | 18.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.