Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb709213f0456fac90187e1282de4e264d74b510f9144192dc346c279e1d5ef88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Cremoneseof Bologna FC 1909, US Cremonese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked US Cremonese | 61c | 8,999$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.59 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 6,294$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked US Cremonese | 74c | 6,074$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Bologna FC 1909 | 17c | 5,285$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked US Cremonese | 60c | 4,362$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.75 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…cc76backed Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 3,952$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked US Cremonese | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 2,819$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked US Cremonese | 60c | 814.32$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.35 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked US Cremonese | 74c | 785.66$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.46 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 700.19$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 517.63$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 41c | 510.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 394.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Bologna FC 1909 | 34c | 348.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 284.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bologna FC 1909 | 37c | 281.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…f54fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 275.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 220.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bologna FC 1909 | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 202.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed US Cremonese | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed US Cremonese | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked US Cremonese | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 123.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 121.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed US Cremonese | 64c | 109.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 64.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed US Cremonese | 64c | 56.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked US Cremonese | 63c | 55.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bologna FC 1909 | 40c | 53.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…5365backed US Cremonese | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked US Cremonese | 77c | 36.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…d302backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 32.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…7aa6backed US Cremonese | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed US Cremonese | 60c | 29.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed US Cremonese | 69c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…7c88backed US Cremonese | 64c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.