Us Politics · resolved market
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a966ee5ab8a9f0d575899cba4f6ce0551110026f85f5341e68f377a3cfbfc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 2c | 24,929$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.77 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…9728backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…97cabacked Yes | 3c | 18,471$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 11,186$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 3c | 8,542$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220d…f4e9backed Yes | 4c | 7,217$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 4c | 7,133$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.22 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…87a2backed Yes | 4c | 6,762$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,268$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 2c | 4,141$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…2f1fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…b7bfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,500$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…9211backed Yes | 4c | 3,200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 4c | 3,015$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,835$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 3c | 2,789$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,705$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…1870backed Yes | 3c | 2,532$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…c3c8backed Yes | 4c | 2,449$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 4c | 2,100$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,094$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…d648backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…8f74backed Yes | 3c | 1,987$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…5a71backed Yes | 9c | 1,759$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…0312backed Yes | 4c | 1,632$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…e2ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,533$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 1,504$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…85b8backed Yes | 3c | 1,460$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…d3ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,382$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,330$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed Yes | 3c | 1,271$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…2e9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,206$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…e436backed Yes | 2c | 1,178$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd56…2681backed Yes | 4c | 1,147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…3633backed Yes | 2c | 1,134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,036$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,028$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 1,021$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 4c | 1,016$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,014$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…8a10backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 995.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 980.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 980.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +659%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Yes | 3c | 969$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 3c | 926.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…c924backed Yes | 3c | 885.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes | 4c | 870.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b276backed Yes | 4c | 800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…c560backed Yes | 4c | 780.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 705$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…99ebbacked Yes | 3c | 684.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 677.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…87e0backed Yes | 4c | 676.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 3c | 670.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…8cd3backed Yes | 3c | 647.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 647$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed Yes | 4c | 631.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…9d74backed Yes | 4c | 579.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…ad0cbacked Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…78fabacked Yes | 2c | 570$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee58…996cbacked Yes | 2c | 562.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 3c | 545$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 5c | 528.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Yes | 2c | 523.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…a528backed Yes | 8c | 512.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…6c54backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…befabacked Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00b…7f8dbacked Yes | 4c | 495$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…a0dcbacked Yes | 4c | 476.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 3c | 449.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1b…9397backed Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 426.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 413.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Yes | 3c | 410$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 3c | 391.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…8a6bbacked Yes | 3c | 377.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…f15dbacked Yes | 4c | 370.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…d990backed Yes | 4c | 368.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…0354backed Yes | 3c | 352.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 3c | 330$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…0925backed Yes | 8c | 289.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…efb1backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…8518backed Yes | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…ec76backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.