Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20b4e188e5543cdd6385446ce9ce43d6b2e2ba609a60c56ea0a8eb8072588038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 2,464$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 64c | 2,380$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.09 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,129$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.16 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 1,029$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 941.35$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.81 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 32c | 380$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 337.78$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 48c | 312.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 307.76$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 248.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 48c | 232.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 52c | 136$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 87.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 38c | 79.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 48c | 63.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 53c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…4c8bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…1ebabacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 39.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 38.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 30.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 45c | 28.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…bf43backed Yes | 47c | 27.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 42c | 23.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 72c | 14.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.