Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa725255f58035db11b0945617bee93641cae00c8114e4602c27435e8bb173dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 17c | 40,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 4,152$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.89 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 71c | 2,932$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.26 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,600$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 14c | 1,414$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 13c | 1,321$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.27 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 653.17$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.18 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 592.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.06 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 531.94$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Yes | 12c | 333.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 213.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 64c | 205.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 51c | 192.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 13c | 187.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 149.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 15c | 130.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 13c | 121.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 84.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 52c | 74.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 57c | 68.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 60c | 65.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 55c | 62.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…5b05backed Yes | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…0b65backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 51c | 33.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 70c | 32.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 61c | 31.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 78c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 80c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.