Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7362a136322632c415b015d8eedbb1ff958488b5bd341fea41a323a3669afc39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Yes | 35c | 26,357$9,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,326.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 13,743$8,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.65 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 8,206$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 7,302$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 6,104$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.08 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 37c | 1,974$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 65c | 1,956$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.73 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 64c | 1,533$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.88 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,324$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,200$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,109$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.15 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 927.41$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 61c | 897.52$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.95 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 36c | 845.65$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 37c | 630.84$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 66c | 616.03$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…b3c9backed Yes | 37c | 582.3$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 63c | 579.2$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…ed1abacked Yes | 35c | 573.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 40c | 505.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 476.3$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed No | 65c | 455.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Yes | 13c | 415$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…0088backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 36c | 399.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 386.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 39c | 384.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…f1f2backed Yes | 36c | 375$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 63c | 373.71$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 37c | 347.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 345.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 64c | 340$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 38c | 302.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 37c | 297.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes | 36c | 279.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 36c | 277.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…dc26backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 38c | 261.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 36c | 254.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 21c | 202.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 63c | 189.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 7c | 189.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 15c | 187.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…7223backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 15c | 146.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4d20backed Yes | 37c | 145.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 21c | 140.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 123$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes | 36c | 120.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 64c | 106$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 36c | 104.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…19a0backed Yes | 27c | 101.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8518…0ca2backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 38c | 96.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 82.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbd…d4b9backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Yes | 37c | 67.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5a…b0d2backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f2…4230backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 38c | 61.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 60.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.