Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1d474eb93123547e9dbf572fd28cc7a320822ef552125d67b0dd9fe34cc7b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 49c | 15,050$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,675.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 49c | 7,986$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.01 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 30c | 4,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 3,273$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.95 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 2,052$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.45 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 17c | 1,937$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 54c | 1,785$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.79 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 48c | 1,111$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 53c | 1,006$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.25 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 49c | 808.47$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 51c | 750.98$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 732.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.77 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…8447backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 447.6$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.89 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 447.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…f288backed Yes | 78c | 389$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 70c | 225.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 213.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 17c | 198.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 52c | 192.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…397abacked Yes | 42c | 169.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 70c | 164.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 131.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Yes | 51c | 107.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 52c | 92.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 37c | 80.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…f44abacked Yes | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 49c | 58.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 22c | 54.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 41c | 49.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 52c | 45.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 45c | 39.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 35c | 38.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 48c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…ca38backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…b183backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-11-29?No won
- Will Paris FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.