TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$871,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$898,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $871,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed Yes50c529,698$262,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267,040.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No50c146,276$73,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,138.033240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No50c134,634$67,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,082.055947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No50c60,600$30,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,3003641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No50c54,540$27,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,2702050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes50c29,812$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,811.91275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No49c29,000$14,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,209.912958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed No49c28,000$13,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,719.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No51c24,840$12,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,754.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c24,175$12,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,136.6991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes48c21,466$10,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,162.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes51c18,945$9,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,283.14100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No52c18,900$9,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8283444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Yes48c18,341$8,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,553.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No50c17,115$8,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,557.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No50c14,140$7,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,069.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes51c13,725$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.491855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No52c12,600$6,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,551.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes47c12,057$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,390.173250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No52c11,527$5,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,994.144544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No52c10,483$5,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,451.162540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No51c10,355$5,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,280.8614552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No32c10,247$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,229.94540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No50c10,036$5,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0182572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No51c9,813$4,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.0714654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes51c8,824$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.533839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No52c8,493$4,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,416.511127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No52c8,320$4,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,326.41250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No52c8,112$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,218.16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba5…8e17backed No53c7,895$4,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,184.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Yes51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed No49c6,959$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes51c6,593$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c6,582$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.322,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c6,351$4,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.7376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No50c6,060$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c5,768$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No50c5,460$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.7511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No50c4,641$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.178254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No53c4,512$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes51c4,017$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.152152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No27c4,000$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.965653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Yes51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No50c3,880$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9401127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked No26c3,575$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.611723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.997963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No27c2,950$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78811226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Yes69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes49c2,762$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.981723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No52c2,700$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4041866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+73.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c2,662$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.2896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No49c2,506$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.1412057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No50c2,472$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes51c2,441$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.181338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No50c2,323$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes61c2,034$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0404369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes47c1,990$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.681241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No50c1,960$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No49c1,959$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes72c1,867$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7527644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No53c1,623$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.392045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c1,594$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.0631849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No52c1,461$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.1956849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.331850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes63c1,389$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No32c1,188$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.886154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No38c1,152$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.421,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No38c1,102$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.611968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes41c1,055$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3923461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c1,045$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.413,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No51c979.07$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No51c959.53$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65f…4493backed No50c850$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No14c819.63$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.222934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No52c809.5$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.94560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No51c740.7$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.474261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes35c692.69$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.813070%21 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes53c642.28$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9910061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.244337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No51c573.55$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.491668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No49c550$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.55534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No20c521.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.556030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked Yes48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.44330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed No30c511$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.32425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26514042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.