TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes23c4,348$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c3,114$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.33,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes22c2,218$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4881338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c1,950$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.642,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No58c1,613$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No78c1,339$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.651,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No70c1,048$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.264369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes28c1,005$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3514042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28016242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes19c971.47$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes21c956.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes7c879.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.16030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes25c732.32$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c451.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c448.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No72c440.08$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.222060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes29c423.19$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.315947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No55c415.89$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.152070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes28c363.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c352.11$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes7c348.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.782934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c310.52$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c309.25$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0731849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes30c256.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes28c244$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.329345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Yes18c217.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes33c199.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.83644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c199.28$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.844156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No65c169.82$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2515240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes19c165.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes37c159.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7312633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes22c159.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No74c150.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2733522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No62c145.85$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No55c145.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.514235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c136.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1425157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c135.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6216013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Yes29c129.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No57c128.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.02742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes40c126.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6327644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No65c117.45$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c07…d02abacked Yes29c108.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes27c108.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.673836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No77c104.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.856333.3%21 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c103.04$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9920048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes20c101.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd61f…608dbacked Yes28c100.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.58733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes27c99.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.998331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes21c93.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes20c86.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3411839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes23c85.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No72c84.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.443256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes18c81.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed No56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x636d…0440backed Yes45c74.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.448349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf269…fa23backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfb…0dfabacked Yes29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes29c58.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Yes22c53.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No78c50.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No72c50.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c95…49c0backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No78c48.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.922842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes22c45.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-72.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c45.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.724261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c39.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No77c38.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.018853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No78c38.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.292560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6811562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45680.4%45 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f4d…398dbacked No79c29.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.061952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No77c26.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.937656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No72c24.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.889561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fb…67b9backed No68c21.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No69c21.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7411749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked No73c21.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.