TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c01…af62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.53
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+64%+$59.47
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$12.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$120.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$73.16
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+99.3%+$34.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+102.4%+$56.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+55.1%+$514.16
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.91
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+48.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+529%+$343.82
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.39
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88%+$14.43
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.74
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$6.86
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.45
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.04
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.37
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.61
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$20.73
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palanbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33%+$4.68
Bengaluru 2: Kokoro Isomura vs Karan Singhbacked Karan Singh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$44.16
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.7
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.78
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Dominika Salkova vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$28.65
Wuning 2: Blake Ellis vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.1
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+246.7%+$52.44
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$22.16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$722.89
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$728.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$131.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.34
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.27
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$42.15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+64.4%+$25.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.51
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.