Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8bffd084b4f8fadd638f429014199e9142ed77cc641af8389d6f5eb9a1e0f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 6c | 35,727$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 6c | 33,547$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 4c | 15,634$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.04 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 14,940$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.87 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,651$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 4c | 7,900$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.15 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 6c | 7,651$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 1c | 6,688$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…b1cfbacked Yes | 5c | 5,142$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 5c | 4,627$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.83 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf266…b2c4backed Yes | 5c | 3,640$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,518$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…236fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,813$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 6c | 2,139$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,699$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 3c | 1,431$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…b757backed Yes | 5c | 1,323$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…7b78backed Yes | 1c | 992.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 5c | 966.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 6c | 892.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…25fbbacked Yes | 6c | 856.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc7…c8e5backed Yes | 4c | 659.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…d96bbacked Yes | 5c | 619.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 557.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 4c | 444$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…701abacked Yes | 4c | 427.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…fe05backed Yes | 8c | 380.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…0a61backed Yes | 5c | 300.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 7c | 159.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 13c | 154.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.