Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb2eb01bcd7bcc3a5f86c4430d5fd8cf3e131dcdef9a6037ce346289de3f063b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 3c | 14,790$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 3c | 14,121$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.52 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 13,973$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.5 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 4,197$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…e87ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,688$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf266…b2c4backed Yes | 10c | 2,496$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…d757backed Yes | 11c | 1,317$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc7…c8e5backed Yes | 10c | 934.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed Yes | 11c | 786.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 11c | 681.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 12c | 536$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 9c | 491.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 9c | 457$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 7c | 450$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 437.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 428.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 391.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 4c | 342.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 279.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…fe05backed Yes | 9c | 257.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…8afdbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 9c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 103.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 12c | 83.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.