TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$488,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No39c59,408$23,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,184.134,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No76c27,342$20,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,805.4688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Yes27c18,721$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,720.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+74%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes23c10,615$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,173.522045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes25c10,000$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,502.723125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No25c8,104$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.6953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes21c8,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,319.8825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes22c7,833$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,117.777044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No14c7,438$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.657129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes22c6,818$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,318.185226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No2c5,898$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.928644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes72c5,328$3,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.8914658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes31c4,780$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,317.162441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…9b48backed Yes30c4,605$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No77c4,420$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb6…9452backed Yes29c4,418$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.44616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No28c4,382$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.9259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No78c4,199$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,275.042138.1%8 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0529…c9dabacked Yes30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes24c4,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.983060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes41c3,646$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.477162%44 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No79c3,409$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.2514975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes30c3,246$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.462339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No78c3,153$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.296737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No1c2,818$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.36156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes22c2,781$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.14837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c2,687$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c2,666$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes22c2,491$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.025038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c2,450$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes22c2,440$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.2419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes22c2,365$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.3522125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes22c2,273$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.736440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No74c2,257$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.8214463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Yes22c2,231$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No55c2,153$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.5457833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No78c2,100$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.914162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes28c1,999$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c1,937$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.421,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No78c1,911$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.486660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes28c1,823$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.4118958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No11c1,571$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.034040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked No75c1,567$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.672171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9603…de5ebacked No2c1,563$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No78c1,491$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.27862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c1,380$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.672,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes22c1,374$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.65032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No78c1,373$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.563253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf01…c782backed No1c1,350$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes22c1,345$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.452138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No76c1,264$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.831163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e32…31fdbacked No12c1,182$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.931030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c1,110$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5957150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes29c1,075$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.348756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes61c1,068$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.762962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c1,032$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.2623632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No79c1,025$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81021250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…c51abacked Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Yes22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+93.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes31c993.77$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No71c985.92$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No78c860.5$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.1948950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed No65c733.62$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1956…750ebacked Yes30c728.3$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Yes30c713.03$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.121060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No60c680$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.811735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b6…57bebacked Yes30c666.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+115.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes30c644.25$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.983145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c599.95$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes25c589.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.95728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes29c583.87$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.872646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes31c577.84$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+77.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No19c537$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.876038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f9…1fafbacked Yes22c518.18$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x214c…a990backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No78c499.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee2…30bbbacked Yes22c486.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b22…8cd6backed Yes22c486.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes32c466.88$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.481764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes32c466.88$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.483158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes22c460.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.554959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.554531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc575…8821backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.55742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes22c450$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Yes30c440$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes28c438.03$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.463441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes22c436.36$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick20cpaid+384.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef55…4c97backed Yes30c433.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes30c430$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30111630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes23c426.37$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.322644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes22c420.55$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0372142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Yes25c405.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b81…b5a2backed Yes22c400$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes63c396.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5511755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.