TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5a4…5780backed No63c6,700$4,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes39c4,021$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.322138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4402751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes18c3,004$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.122745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c2,340$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c2,225$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.0652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes41c2,150$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c1,515$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.731,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes37c1,156$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.051747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No60c1,149$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.6524052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes37c1,138$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.133354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No62c1,047$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3812738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes36c947.33$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes31c755.53$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes38c749$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.628254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.162944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes37c588.89$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8926046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes12c536.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c492.37$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15212957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c397.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes13c388.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No63c380$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.626354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Yes38c350$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes13c330.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8850%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes30c299.77$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.913534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes36c285.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes37c285.7$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.711811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes40c206.45$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes37c199.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes23c195.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes43c158.51$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c155.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0923342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes13c154.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Yes37c151.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c146.69$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes16c137.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.985846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No68c133.85$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.872972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes41c120.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.321241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes36c119.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-63.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes37c95.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9646450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes38c76.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.638643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes26c75.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7610938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No61c62.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1818155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed No64c60.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.692669.2%18 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No61c58.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0110643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes41c57.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7426041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes30c55.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.853847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes39c51.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes37c51.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+95.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c50.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8367…7eaebacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No63c44.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6110145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes37c40.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.084930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed No62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44050%20 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes36c38.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7613844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No58c36.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4716448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2515951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No59c34.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.342152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No76c31.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.565042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71dd…a4e2backed Yes37c31.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…c588backed Yes42c30.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed No61c29.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.47850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No63c26.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7914…5434backed Yes42c24.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No62c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.011464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c20.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No63c19.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.278056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…c637backed No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.