Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f1165a61dbef2849725039e3faea14a7de5930240244d6cae59ca075733a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf60f…04e3backed No | 73c | 1,493$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,285$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.33 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 68c | 1,218$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 945.19$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 925.66$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 658.94$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 27c | 596.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 574.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 513.59$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.56 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 76c | 481.02$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 73c | 435.54$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 356.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 72c | 299.94$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 27c | 279.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 79c | 271.72$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 73c | 268$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 212.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 161.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 72c | 135.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 103.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 103.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 97.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 74c | 71.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…dc48backed No | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 51c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…53f7backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 26.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked No | 71c | 20.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 72c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.