TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c16,261$6,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,618.7998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No58c14,685$8,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,170.147549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes32c2,960$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.742343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c2,422$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.1253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c1,316$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.3877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.999050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No80c957.1$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.424141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes42c913.48$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No69c791.14$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.6211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No79c761$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes39c724.41$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4214761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes55c718.04$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa919…65fabacked Yes23c661.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes39c614.21$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8813952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes21c580.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked No56c519.54$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes39c458.09$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7848344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c450$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No75c446.48$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6512247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes32c434.79$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5510644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c428.7$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No79c394.53$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0653046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No80c370$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.13253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c369.6$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No57c359.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.792060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No69c345.86$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.237726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c343.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c336.7$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c335.8$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.213,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No70c312.34$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.25068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes45c271.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4912343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No64c267.8$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5516657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No51c251.17$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.696841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No52c235.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.213228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed No51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.292123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No77c226.86$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1918967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No57c210.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.51392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+53.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes44c206$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0728851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362065%13 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+98.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes39c199.55$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0620849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes19c185.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4318655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No69c183.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.185259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No56c154.62$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.032065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes35c150.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4844350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes22c145.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes29c129.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.353141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No60c105$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes18c104.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x544d…88c5backed Yes49c102.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No80c101.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.389052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes40c101.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4136051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c101$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2035149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes11c95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.454639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No61c91.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes20c87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0318651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes14c86.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.416853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No64c79.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No61c79.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8425851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes18c77.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes43c73.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.684858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No64c67.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4210249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes50c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6839567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No62c60.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8612346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes40c59.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No63c55.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6123953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb85b…c817backed Yes34c53.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No47c49.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.372470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c47.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No79c41.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No80c40.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.220249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No78c35.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.85742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes44c31.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed No71c30.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.973259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked No52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No61c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2422269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No63c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.297951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.353138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x491b…428ebacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.