Mls · resolved market
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3706b0e7aab487a187a725ef14f61fa9b497411925678648ed05905ddfa2fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 44c | 3,748$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.84 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 3,404$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.65 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 3,253$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.06 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 58c | 3,080$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.7 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 37c | 2,614$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.16 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 2,363$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.53 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…d4c6backed Yes | 56c | 2,343$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 1,897$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.17 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,216$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.38 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 1,131$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.4 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 1,092$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 787.6$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.05 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 777.04$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 41c | 719.59$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.46 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 40c | 656.14$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 55c | 591.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 13c | 585.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 64c | 577.11$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 498.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 60c | 486.35$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 48c | 480.79$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 55c | 446.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.26 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 59c | 427.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 359.98$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 326$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 40c | 299.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 297$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 294.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 39c | 265.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 80c | 248.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked Yes | 32c | 240$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 43c | 230.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 221.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 200.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 58c | 181.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 39c | 160.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 46c | 158.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 151$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 60c | 128.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 57c | 122.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…88c5backed Yes | 32c | 121.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 118.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 107.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Yes | 51c | 103.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 45c | 99.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 69c | 98.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 48c | 97.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 52c | 91.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…f7b5backed Yes | 58c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 43c | 84.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 16c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 43c | 77.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 44c | 76.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 49c | 75.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 68c | 73.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed No | 45c | 72.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 42c | 65.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…df32backed No | 43c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 28c | 62.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 27c | 59.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 56c | 57.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 68c | 56.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed No | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed No | 72c | 51.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked No | 72c | 50.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 26c | 50.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 42c | 50.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 50.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 54c | 47.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…4788backed No | 45c | 46.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 43c | 43.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…712cbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…c817backed Yes | 52c | 40.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 59c | 37.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x872f…86a8backed Yes | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 59c | 32.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.