Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9b581bf0ff5561997bab4e9cffca3b4a487dde74e5323c066649819f8c4537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 1,530$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,469$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.31 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 1,062$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 876.39$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 808.47$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.13 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 34c | 771.14$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 74c | 688$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 34c | 458.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 66c | 359.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 24c | 208.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 69c | 189.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 34c | 153$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 146.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 70c | 112$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 71c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 72c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 69.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 67c | 67.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…0c70backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 66c | 55.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 50.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 67c | 35.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 67c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
- Will New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.