Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd4d7b8055ebf880032a560529c09ceb18068592cc6f7a27c918c6708e9a56c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 9c | 26,670$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.3 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 5,056$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.43 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 41c | 4,868$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 39c | 3,528$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.13 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 69c | 1,359$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 1,235$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.69 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 996.2$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.14 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 58c | 652$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.8 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 53c | 536.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.38 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 65c | 464.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 49c | 450.76$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 45c | 410$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 77c | 312.14$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 73c | 300.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 35c | 299.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 58c | 229$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 54c | 227.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 21c | 215.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 39c | 134.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 76c | 118.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 61c | 111.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 36c | 111.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 100.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 61c | 97.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 61c | 96.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 40c | 91.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 67c | 75.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 70c | 74.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…7a07backed Yes | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 47c | 72.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 61c | 72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Yes | 39c | 67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 66.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…630abacked Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 60c | 58.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 61c | 56.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 60c | 54.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 45c | 49.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…12aebacked Yes | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…5588backed Yes | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…2418backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff5…e77bbacked No | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 57c | 32.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…7caebacked No | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ff…bdf2backed No | 61c | 27.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…29f0backed No | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 47c | 26.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfd…ce73backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No | 51c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf40c…a7d3backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…1b6ebacked No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 20.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 61c | 19.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…7274backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed No | 61c | 16.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 71c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?No won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.