Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5128675f299cafde0fd5cf9e71cf60913a46531427a854c9018f1244c6920306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marta Kostyukof Marta Kostyuk, Oksana Selekhmeteva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 0c | 200,986$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 0c | 25,151$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 8c | 10,407$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.49 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 8c | 6,118$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.44 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 7c | 3,429$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 9c | 2,630$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 5c | 2,447$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 4c | 2,184$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 1c | 1,776$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 3c | 1,373$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 4c | 1,353$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…e1b8backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 8c | 999.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 7c | 999.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 2c | 788.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 708 | 29.1%206 W · 502 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 3c | 773.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 7c | 608.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 9c | 586$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…6854backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 5c | 243.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…2356backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Oksana Selekhmetevathis page
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Oksana Selekhmeteva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs SelekhmetevaKostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Selekhmeteva (+1.5)Kostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.