TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under62c3,987$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.81,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Over35c3,500$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9715148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under63c2,600$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.461,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under61c1,484$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8257945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over40c1,222$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.754746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under60c1,041$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.832,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under72c808.53$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6942246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over37c692.03$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0552750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over37c672.86$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.962,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under60c657.22$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.4932755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c612.94$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.942,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under62c600$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.451,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over41c592.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.044755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over43c557.41$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6950848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Over40c515$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20648742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…e31fbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.38per pick46cpaid-77.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa77c…587ebacked Over40c485$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1943737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04f…c3a4backed Over36c472.22$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over74c469.23$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34566058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under62c394$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.721,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Under64c392.06$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4390337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over38c389.55$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14828643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under59c379.21$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.481,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under61c359.99$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.21,14945.2%519 W · 630 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over37c350.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5535243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over40c337.47$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.531,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over58c311.72$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.612,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under63c310.63$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9339055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Over39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11729758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under38c275.58$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.81,13331.1%352 W · 781 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under69c261.09$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.031,16866.1%772 W · 396 L+69.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Under64c258.58$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4333254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012441.1%51 W · 73 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over39c245.69$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8242735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Over39c245.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.669230.4%28 W · 64 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under57c236.61$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7424445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under56c220$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.812454%67 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Under61c202.36$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.921,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Under62c201$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3849461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd755…d794backed Under65c192.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.545358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Under59c184.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.945543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under73c162.24$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7117163.7%109 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Under63c157.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.498245.1%37 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Under61c152.46$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4647630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710141.6%42 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over39c141.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.238342.2%35 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe6b…bc2abacked Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028165.5%184 W · 97 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ec…a3adbacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c120.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.971,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under79c116.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5115956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Over39c115.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Over36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed Over41c90.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.181942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4633…48f1backed Over38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.75944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked Over39c84.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335253.8%28 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under64c84.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6638845.4%176 W · 212 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f1…7eeabacked Under79c83.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8112057.5%69 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9217650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Over36c72.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over21c70.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8548844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under43c66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3957222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under62c65.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.885853.4%31 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.311,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Over40c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.87157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x604b…a009backed Over41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…162dbacked Over74c59.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.112065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c1b…555bbacked Over32c57.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.34742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over44c51.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.821,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc79…11d1backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98c4…b52dbacked Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under57c49.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4674637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017755.9%99 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9077…b463backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7322…9f57backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6723880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.660243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under60c38.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Over40c37.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510959.6%65 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7826…01dabacked Under79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.250045.6%228 W · 272 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.340044%176 W · 224 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under53c28.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3518438.6%71 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f77…39f8backed Under47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6923…7592backed Over78c22.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.863046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under45c22.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.371,72629.4%507 W · 1,219 L-124.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.245066%33 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x072c…ac4abacked Under77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.611778.6%92 W · 25 L+19.5wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1515748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.246452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce6…799abacked Under72c19.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.382560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over65c16.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.