Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d67f4dd13794c2fce7bbc88b18ee5dd6005ac21af2d2a41719f9bdd3cc0b55e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Under | 53c | 947.66$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.4 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 41c | 605.65$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 47c | 532.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 63c | 500$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 480.36$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…5683backed Under | 55c | 207.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 37c | 206.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 55c | 175.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…e31fbacked Under | 65c | 138.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…99f9backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 179 | 39.1%70 W · 109 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 47c | 92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 30c | 69.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 55c | 69.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…9aadbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed Under | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…8681backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 190 | 63.7%121 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 38c | 31.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 48c | 29.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Over | 46c | 25.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 45c | 24.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.