Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575d38b540c82b4b249397a4f8c4ae2b06059fef642bb71b4291b67b65d5c950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 54c | 15,536$8,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,388.08 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.95 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.98 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 46c | 8,130$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.15 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 45c | 4,728$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.47 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Under | 44c | 3,851$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.42 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Under | 45c | 3,534$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.78 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Under | 46c | 3,386$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 45c | 2,376$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.52 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 45c | 2,120$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Under | 44c | 1,648$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.73 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 44c | 1,580$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.55 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Over | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Under | 44c | 860.7$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.99 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 44c | 860.04$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.88 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 46c | 794.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 46c | 761.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.37 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 46c | 730$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.2 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 56c | 715.61$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.74 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Under | 47c | 712.77$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.77 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked Under | 44c | 668.64$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Under | 45c | 562$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 44c | 481.82$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Under | 47c | 434.6$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Under | 46c | 403.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 46c | 352.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 40c | 307.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Over | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Under | 46c | 254.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed Under | 46c | 211.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 60c | 202.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 56c | 179.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 44c | 154.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 45c | 95.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 60c | 66.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.