TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked BNK FEARX37c43,233$15,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,305.2920339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Nongshim Red Force63c25,250$15,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,902.791,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Nongshim Red Force64c20,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,799.9814448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BNK FEARX37c15,002$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,454.0592254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nongshim Red Force63c11,735$7,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,393.083661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX36c11,285$4,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,222.261,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Nongshim Red Force63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30014549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Nongshim Red Force64c7,500$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80059750.4%301 W · 296 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX36c5,713$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,681.941,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nongshim Red Force63c5,000$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.9570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nongshim Red Force63c3,214$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.891,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Nongshim Red Force64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed BNK FEARX36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.998751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed BNK FEARX36c2,209$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.4144451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked BNK FEARX62c1,593$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.2512260.7%74 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Nongshim Red Force64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009344.1%41 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Nongshim Red Force64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed BNK FEARX36c1,120$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.844335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Nongshim Red Force65c1,077$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70086144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed BNK FEARX37c1,024$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.041,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed BNK FEARX37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63017561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Nongshim Red Force64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6408934.8%31 W · 58 L-10.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed BNK FEARX36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64021154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed BNK FEARX37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301,15355.9%645 W · 508 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed BNK FEARX36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64052750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nongshim Red Force63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6308652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked BNK FEARX33c776.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5814352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Nongshim Red Force65c606.36$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.056246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed BNK FEARX37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3781,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Nongshim Red Force64c599.91$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9521150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Nongshim Red Force67c575.43$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5439755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked BNK FEARX56c540$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24026645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed BNK FEARX36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32030243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Nongshim Red Force40c494.13$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5535054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0309…3e4dbacked Nongshim Red Force64c484.61$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.151283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked BNK FEARX37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4163547.9%304 W · 331 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Nongshim Red Force64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25664753.9%349 W · 298 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed BNK FEARX61c335.62$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.722277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked BNK FEARX36c331.19$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6532053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Nongshim Red Force64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19215255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed BNK FEARX37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.278440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked BNK FEARX37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2716647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Nongshim Red Force60c266.77$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9239859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nongshim Red Force50c254.51$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.332,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Nongshim Red Force65c242.29$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4961256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed BNK FEARX36c230.32$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.437548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed BNK FEARX37c225.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3429948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nongshim Red Force65c220.68$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4449947.1%235 W · 264 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…4a37backed BNK FEARX37c197.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1815349%75 W · 78 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed BNK FEARX37c189.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9818849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed BNK FEARX59c168.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2666947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed BNK FEARX39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8532142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX16c140.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.872,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Nongshim Red Force65c120.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5411649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed BNK FEARX66c117.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5342246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Nongshim Red Force53c110.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.141,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed BNK FEARX36c110$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.476129%221 W · 540 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed BNK FEARX36c109.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6132050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…a5d4backed BNK FEARX37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.116259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked BNK FEARX37c101.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.194456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked BNK FEARX36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed BNK FEARX36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6458437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked BNK FEARX35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.221859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed Nongshim Red Force46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.46538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Nongshim Red Force64c99.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412446.8%58 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed BNK FEARX36c89.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2874637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Nongshim Red Force42c75.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6415243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BNK FEARX36c70.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.621,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed BNK FEARX36c69.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.442450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934c…d174backed BNK FEARX37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.57540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed BNK FEARX64c65.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9121763.6%138 W · 79 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked BNK FEARX43c63.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1534565.5%226 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed BNK FEARX35c63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Nongshim Red Force63c56.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6718952.9%100 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed BNK FEARX37c53.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.639857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed BNK FEARX37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.521256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Nongshim Red Force65c49.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.171,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Nongshim Red Force65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Nongshim Red Force55c43.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9375150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd952…0553backed Nongshim Red Force53c42.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941e…9775backed BNK FEARX37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5417067.1%114 W · 56 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed BNK FEARX37c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.945836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked BNK FEARX58c33.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0748944.4%217 W · 272 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Nongshim Red Force64c32.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.939445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Nongshim Red Force64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054354.9%298 W · 245 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Nongshim Red Force51c30.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5624959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Nongshim Red Force65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013560%81 W · 54 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked BNK FEARX36c30.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5518846.3%87 W · 101 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Nongshim Red Force66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked BNK FEARX38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.679545.3%360 W · 435 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a41…15b2backed Nongshim Red Force64c26.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6913842.8%59 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed BNK FEARX63c25.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5961150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Nongshim Red Force64c25.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3619656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Nongshim Red Force46c24.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.293987%28 W · 370 L-123.7wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.3%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed BNK FEARX68c21.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7917163.7%109 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9e…9aa0backed Nongshim Red Force65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Nongshim Red Force65c17.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.564047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Nongshim Red Force63c17.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.822548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x508d…31f4backed Nongshim Red Force71c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.