MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be7e7785e4b49ebd76161c780b119ef83fa47c18c7e20e80af000fafecc1ed3

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tampa Bay Raysof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,601 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees	37c	11,286$4,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,202.02	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	64c	8,230$5,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,973.26	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	39c	5,292$2,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,063.98	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0706…f25dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	67c	3,605$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205.82	66	69.7%46 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	3,000$1,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,169.98	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed New York Yankees	39c	2,000$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Yankees	25c	1,959$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.02	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	1,500$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays	60c	1,404$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.74	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+8.9wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	59c	999.99$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Tampa Bay Rays	59c	982$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.62	568	51.4%292 W · 276 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	948.45$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.9	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Tampa Bay Rays	60c	877.42$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.42	211	47.9%101 W · 110 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees	38c	820$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.4	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees	32c	795.41$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.14	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked New York Yankees	38c	539.34$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.95	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays	60c	455.01$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.28	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees	34c	383.78$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.46	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.34	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked New York Yankees	39c	300$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	62c	262$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.56	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	252$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.94	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees	23c	250$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees	23c	250$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	193	35.8%69 W · 124 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	249.92$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.47	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked New York Yankees	37c	242.22$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	310	46.5%144 W · 166 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Tampa Bay Rays	62c	241.94$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.94	183	56.8%104 W · 79 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked New York Yankees	39c	205.13$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	795	43%342 W · 453 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed New York Yankees	39c	203.72$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.45	494	50%247 W · 247 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	183.67$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.21	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Yankees	14c	156$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Tampa Bay Rays	59c	152.96$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.71	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed New York Yankees	41c	135.52$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.11	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cce…2ff1backed New York Yankees	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…27f1backed New York Yankees	39c	128.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee1d…cc3abacked New York Yankees	39c	118.33$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.15	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed New York Yankees	37c	106.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.71	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	60c	100.52$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.75	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Tampa Bay Rays	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked New York Yankees	41c	90$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees	34c	89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.26	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees	34c	83$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees	39c	79.49$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	664	48.2%320 W · 344 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed New York Yankees	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	692	49%339 W · 353 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees	34c	76$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Tampa Bay Rays	62c	66$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	468	54.5%255 W · 213 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays	62c	66$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	721	54.2%391 W · 330 L	+20.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+144.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees	32c	59.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed New York Yankees	38c	56.97$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.77	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed New York Yankees	35c	56.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	580	54.5%316 W · 264 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f31…2d48backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	54.1$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.1	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed New York Yankees	40c	53.92$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2b…92abbacked New York Yankees	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays	60c	46.34$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.32	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed New York Yankees	36c	46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked New York Yankees	35c	40.73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	469	52.5%246 W · 223 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed New York Yankees	27c	39.15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	178	42.7%76 W · 102 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Tampa Bay Rays	60c	36.68$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.67	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	29.59$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.59	228	49.6%113 W · 115 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	29.48$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.38	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	26.6$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.09	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed New York Yankees	40c	26.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees	44c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed New York Yankees	41c	25.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4b…e5a8backed New York Yankees	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Tampa Bay Rays	65c	23.12$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.05	418	36.4%152 W · 266 L	-31.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Tampa Bay Rays	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.56	475	89.1%423 W · 52 L	+84.9wins	+0.18per pick	71cpaid	+25%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	16.48$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	946	48.9%463 W · 483 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays	68c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.12	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event