TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed2b…92ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28%+$6.57
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Targu Mures: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.75
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.25
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.25
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.25
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$31.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick80cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.