Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9884aa8024a13083b63078e24d8cf995826c24b99ffef0e8b4e10bc0541cf967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,231$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 1,822$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.46 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 34c | 1,702$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.75 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 899.95$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.97 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…b694backed Under | 60c | 817.62$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 803$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 710.23$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.02 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 608.01$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 37c | 543.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 78c | 511.54$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 45c | 504.94$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.46 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 426.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 27c | 328.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 61c | 324.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 311.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.73 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 275.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 49c | 244.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 68c | 220.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 61c | 214.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 77c | 209.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 44c | 189.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 29c | 188.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 64c | 186.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 65c | 179.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Under | 32c | 161.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 24c | 146.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 141.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 136.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 85.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 61c | 81.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…0751backed Over | 61c | 72.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 67c | 68.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 40c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 49c | 62.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1891…fd78backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 74c | 58.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 41c | 50.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 50.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…92abbacked Over | 24c | 44.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 40c | 42.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 34c | 40.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 36.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 40c | 33.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 40c | 31.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…fa8dbacked Under | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 27.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Over | 66c | 26.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…2075backed Over | 76c | 24.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 61c | 19.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5this page
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)IK Start won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.