Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985d113dc0753b57190b7e49bbdb9251c30b587e9cb418b9df59195f44490432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.95 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,489$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,488$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 12c | 1,210$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 1,190$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 51c | 1,037$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 1,011$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.57 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 48c | 960$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.1 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 953.74$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.96 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 39c | 923.08$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 903.25$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 80c | 740.5$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 623.86$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.37 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 64c | 585.94$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 46c | 547.04$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 546.1$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 525.77$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 42c | 387.06$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 77c | 194.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 179.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 173.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…e60fbacked Over | 62c | 162.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 132.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Under | 50c | 122.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 61c | 121.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 42c | 119.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 38c | 89.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 88.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 81.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 81.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Under | 47c | 66.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 58c | 63.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 59c | 56.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 52.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 44.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 56c | 43.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 62c | 40.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 31.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Over | 47c | 29.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 44c | 26.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Under | 62c | 24.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…b311backed Under | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 55c | 22.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 21.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 62c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5this page
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)IK Start won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.