Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: IK Start (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x851d9d941fe4794e5bd65f01cf8e646e5b4609e68e3a6de9ac436c1ddc2be006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vålerenga Fotballof IK Start, Vålerenga Fotball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed IK Start | 9c | 2,071$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IK Start | 20c | 1,527$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1d…facbbacked IK Start | 5c | 1,491$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…13cdbacked IK Start | 5c | 970$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…ecfbbacked IK Start | 5c | 970$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…207dbacked IK Start | 5c | 875$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192c…c543backed IK Start | 5c | 850$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…74d1backed IK Start | 5c | 837$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…7f32backed IK Start | 5c | 805$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…7b91backed IK Start | 5c | 786$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…1941backed IK Start | 5c | 786$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…7c99backed IK Start | 5c | 777$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…71efbacked IK Start | 5c | 720$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked IK Start | 4c | 470.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed IK Start | 11c | 383.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed IK Start | 18c | 299.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked IK Start | 5c | 250.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed IK Start | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked IK Start | 24c | 177.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…b527backed Vålerenga Fotball | 77c | 98.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed IK Start | 29c | 43.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)this page
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)IK Start won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.