TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Misa Esportsof Team Liquid Academy, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcadf…1f60backed Misa Esports56c5,630$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.032867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid Academy44c4,826$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.4119860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa413…6c4abacked Misa Esports57c3,510$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.31450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid Academy43c2,317$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.681,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Misa Esports55c1,873$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.726668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed Misa Esports57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.43770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid Academy37c1,492$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.221,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports58c1,424$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.821,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid Academy66c1,367$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.6694361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid Academy45c1,350$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.541734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Team Liquid Academy46c1,163$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9411450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Misa Esports50c1,106$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.6533838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Team Liquid Academy6c1,074$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.513938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid Academy52c1,000$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.3824250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Liquid Academy43c993.08$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.1684838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Team Liquid Academy24c988$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2632245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Team Liquid Academy43c936.98$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.99744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Misa Esports56c923.83$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.498334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Team Liquid Academy37c811.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9b…efabbacked Team Liquid Academy47c736.89$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Team Liquid Academy41c711.53$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.45030%15 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Team Liquid Academy43c627.91$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Liquid Academy57c593.51$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4835142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Liquid Academy2c585.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4960022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Liquid Academy44c547.22$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.328743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports55c500.89$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Team Liquid Academy45c500.1$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0525453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Team Liquid Academy45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Misa Esports47c496.18$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6518444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked Team Liquid Academy60c496.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports42c487.32$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.111,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8623…34a6backed Team Liquid Academy21c470.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Team Liquid Academy47c452.14$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5115646.2%72 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports24c387.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.841,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports57c360.69$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5778562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Liquid Academy36c349.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9952050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports40c348.49$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.011,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid Academy43c335.1$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4968949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Misa Esports35c327.19$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0131046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Team Liquid Academy46c321.74$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1495145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports53c320.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.631,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Misa Esports66c304$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0510349.5%51 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Misa Esports54c302$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.929046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Team Liquid Academy50c297.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7722539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid Academy35c285$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9279650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Liquid Academy71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Liquid Academy35c277$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6455348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Misa Esports57c264.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2162856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid Academy65c254.74$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5549255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Team Liquid Academy44c252.27$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Team Liquid Academy44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Misa Esports53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.514252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1866…1325backed Team Liquid Academy49c241.63$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Misa Esports45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11016547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Team Liquid Academy45c183.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.83756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Team Liquid Academy43c182$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.268839.8%35 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Misa Esports55c181.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.036454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6505…1feebacked Team Liquid Academy18c175.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.68654.7%47 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Misa Esports67c164.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.286453.1%34 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed Team Liquid Academy25c161.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed Team Liquid Academy45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Misa Esports65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537356.2%41 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Team Liquid Academy70c143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Team Liquid Academy43c135.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.358736.8%32 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked Misa Esports55c135$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.755349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Team Liquid Academy46c130.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9715038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Team Liquid Academy41c129.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3321136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports40c128.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4590733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports40c123.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7396245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid Academy46c111.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Misa Esports75c111.11$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.243633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Misa Esports50c109.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.037143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Team Liquid Academy44c106.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9125554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Team Liquid Academy43c105.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.213525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Misa Esports59c105$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.056747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Misa Esports56c103.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.816451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Team Liquid Academy45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Liquid Academy23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Misa Esports36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6455637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Team Liquid Academy47c99.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6825245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Misa Esports58c99.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5642140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Team Liquid Academy19c96.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid Academy50c94.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.431,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Misa Esports56c92.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0420553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid Academy40c89.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.360154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Team Liquid Academy35c87.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4426932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Liquid Academy42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.59441.5%39 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Misa Esports63c74.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.131266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Misa Esports58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Liquid Academy43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.140254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Team Liquid Academy46c68.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.278454.8%46 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Team Liquid Academy44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.672524%6 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed Misa Esports79c65.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.564546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62f2…733cbacked Team Liquid Academy78c64.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…5696backed Misa Esports73c62.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Liquid Academy40c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7174642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Team Liquid Academy31c60.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9818148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Liquid Academy44c58.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked Misa Esports44c58.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.353151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Misa Esports53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8528252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.