TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquid Academyof Team Liquid Academy, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid Academy74c1,052$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.891,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Misa Esports61c803.05$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4861353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports49c449.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.591,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports39c390.69$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.361,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Misa Esports34c364.78$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.615030%15 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Liquid Academy46c305.41$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4452050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Liquid Academy46c295$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid Academy42c287.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9879650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid Academy52c269.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1278562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports71c203$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1199846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Team Liquid Academy42c192.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.23545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid Academy25c187.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.21,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid Academy55c185.21$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3520755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid Academy44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports61c130.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2868949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports51c128.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.371,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports49c127.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8484838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid Academy48c117.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.911,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports38c117.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8690733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports37c112.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1794361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports76c103.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1956551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Team Liquid Academy69c101$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2918444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Team Liquid Academy42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5814032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Misa Esports65c96.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3733838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Team Liquid Academy44c93.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1813933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Team Liquid Academy44c93.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1815535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Liquid Academy47c87.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8621641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…00a9backed Team Liquid Academy42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62572%18 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Misa Esports73c64.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports49c61.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.761,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Team Liquid Academy48c60.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5722539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Misa Esports29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.430544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports79c58.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3770043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid Academy37c46.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1640945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Liquid Academy42c44.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8420439.2%80 W · 124 L-18.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6505…1feebacked Team Liquid Academy35c42.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.558654.7%47 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports78c41.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports64c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Team Liquid Academy69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3815973%116 W · 43 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports75c21.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3874642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Misa Esports80c20.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0442140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.