MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x994ae1a700ce5b8b99e70c31a6636b9b127fa441f956e9a21be891a44eeeb340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Phillies, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Phillies | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox | 61c | 31,053$18,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,099.21 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 42c | 25,620$10,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,773.17 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 38c | 24,000$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 57c | 16,566$9,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,518.7 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed White Sox | 48c | 14,762$7,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,677.62 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 48c | 11,742$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 61c | 10,612$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.61 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Phillies | 43c | 7,717$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 49c | 5,228$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.98 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 58c | 4,102$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.16 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed White Sox | 46c | 4,050$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.49 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 58c | 3,851$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.85 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 40c | 3,764$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Phillies | 43c | 3,640$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 59c | 3,588$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.65 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 53c | 3,473$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.29 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed White Sox | 53c | 3,254$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.55 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Phillies | 56c | 3,222$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.1 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 50c | 3,159$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.07 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…2d70backed White Sox | 43c | 2,600$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed White Sox | 44c | 2,435$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.93 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 55c | 2,374$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 59c | 2,016$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.15 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies | 1c | 1,925$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Phillies | 56c | 1,670$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.97 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7404…c062backed Phillies | 57c | 1,440$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked White Sox | 49c | 1,418$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.79 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,417$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.83 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Phillies | 72c | 1,390$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed White Sox | 46c | 1,319$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.4 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 1c | 1,226$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked White Sox | 44c | 1,222$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.32 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 44c | 1,204$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.4 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…91b7backed White Sox | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…50fabacked White Sox | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Phillies | 43c | 1,197$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.21 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Phillies | 3c | 1,125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Phillies | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…d50bbacked Phillies | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…18e6backed Phillies | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…ca4cbacked Phillies | 57c | 988$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…dd29backed White Sox | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8150backed White Sox | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked White Sox | 44c | 897.7$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.66 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Phillies | 45c | 890.22$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 44c | 884.46$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Phillies | 53c | 877.58$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.45 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 41c | 850$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…e6c2backed Phillies | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…3d34backed Phillies | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…0cfdbacked Phillies | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 45c | 740.73$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Phillies | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 59c | 699.99$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked White Sox | 41c | 682.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Phillies | 56c | 534.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 46c | 532.65$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked White Sox | 40c | 514.2$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.52 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Phillies | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies | 58c | 498.48$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 42c | 483.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Phillies | 54c | 474.84$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.57 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed White Sox | 56c | 460$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked White Sox | 45c | 450$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Phillies | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Phillies | 55c | 449.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Phillies | 53c | 449.24$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.67 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 41c | 383$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.97 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Phillies | 43c | 366.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1,156.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 42c | 334.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Phillies | 51c | 332.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…12e0backed White Sox | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…e89cbacked Phillies | 58c | 309.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed White Sox | 43c | 307.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 41c | 283.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 19c | 270$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked White Sox | 44c | 270$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Phillies | 56c | 255$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0299backed Phillies | 58c | 249.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 44c | 241.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed White Sox | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox | 41c | 225$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 51c | 216$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 42c | 213.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Phillies | 58c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…51d0backed Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.