MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3851c8dcad9d5f707d25cf85c46864fd6c1fb51c4e2f2681e7e5d16e67fa3e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Rays, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 8c | 57,409$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 50c | 40,201$19,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,254.43 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Yankees | 48c | 36,813$17,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,142.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rays | 51c | 27,904$14,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,231.15 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays | 52c | 25,157$13,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,207.22 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.91 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rays | 52c | 19,447$10,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,126.78 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 51c | 13,009$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 54c | 10,660$5,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.56 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Rays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 10c | 9,915$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.42 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yankees | 49c | 9,013$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.9 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rays | 2c | 6,173$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 48c | 5,790$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.8 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rays | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.96 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Rays | 17c | 4,693$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.84 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yankees | 50c | 4,531$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.64 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Rays | 50c | 3,980$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…3e8dbacked Yankees | 48c | 3,909$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Rays | 10c | 3,830$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.76 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 50c | 3,708$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Rays | 52c | 3,292$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Rays | 53c | 3,051$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.84 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 32c | 3,031$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.28 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yankees | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Yankees | 53c | 2,778$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.13 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…32d1backed Rays | 52c | 2,776$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 25c | 2,732$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.61 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rays | 50c | 2,703$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.07 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 4c | 2,543$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rays | 49c | 2,409$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.54 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Rays | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yankees | 52c | 2,228$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.42 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Rays | 53c | 2,220$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.08 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yankees | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Rays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yankees | 52c | 1,987$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 47c | 1,713$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yankees | 50c | 1,582$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.94 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Yankees | 49c | 1,313$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.64 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rays | 9c | 1,290$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yankees | 49c | 1,280$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.56 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…e5e9backed Yankees | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Yankees | 49c | 1,196$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.53 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 33c | 1,140$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 52c | 1,125$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.75 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.36 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…2f29backed Yankees | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rays | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.77 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 47c | 1,023$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.91 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yankees | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.24 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…35aebacked Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Rays | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…5b8bbacked Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yankees | 53c | 979.97$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.59 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Yankees | 52c | 961.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.92 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yankees | 47c | 926.59$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.09 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Rays | 17c | 904.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…50d3backed Rays | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 6c | 877.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878e…046ebacked Rays | 23c | 864.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Yankees | 49c | 822.22$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.33 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rays | 51c | 802.31$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…c05cbacked Rays | 52c | 802$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…0c82backed Yankees | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Rays | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…8d3cbacked Yankees | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccd…fb6abacked Rays | 12c | 739.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Yankees | 52c | 727.68$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 11c | 699.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 50c | 698.93$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rays | 2c | 673.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Rays | 17c | 655.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Yankees | 49c | 647.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…4e2bbacked Rays | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays | 48c | 594.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Yankees | 49c | 583.67$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.67 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Rays | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Rays | 48c | 567.4$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ed…c62dbacked Yankees | 49c | 550$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Rays | 11c | 533.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Rays | 47c | 527.66$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Yankees | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Yankees | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yankees | 49c | 500$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rays | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yankees | 49c | 496$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 11c | 479.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 47c | 442.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rays | 5c | 430$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Yankees | 51c | 426.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Yankees | 49c | 416.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yankees | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rays | 49c | 409.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.