Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9666b0f6276b182fadf1ef3a7a99adbde2f20ab783f714731a87e1791f7d68a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 12,131$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,046.97 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 50c | 10,232$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.43 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 55c | 561$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 60c | 465.5$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 453$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 372$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 57c | 344.45$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Yes | 74c | 230.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 216.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 13c | 149.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 54c | 146.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 77c | 129.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 75c | 126.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 30c | 79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 50c | 63.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Yes | 49c | 29.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 72c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Angers SCO vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.