Serie A · resolved market

Will Como win on 2025-09-15?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda4879c842ada3aad0ce09563cd6397e02aa4cf623654bb702d8d311640a2f6

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 15, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $123,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,375 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	67c	20,826$13,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,967.84	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	41c	12,501$5,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,375.49	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No	43c	11,551$4,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,627.45	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	47c	10,871$5,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,806.23	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed No	26c	10,620$2,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,858.8	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes	57c	8,700$4,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,947	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes	63c	8,147$5,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,122.5	246	57.3%141 W · 105 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No	42c	3,034$1,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,759.94	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes	52c	3,000$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,546.12	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	36c	2,965$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,885.51	137	54%74 W · 63 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	59c	1,911$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.89	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked No	21c	1,800$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,422	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	54c	1,500$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	81	69.1%56 W · 25 L	+9.3wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+30%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No	34c	1,484$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.55	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes	59c	1,078$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.94	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No	42c	999.99$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes	58c	999.99$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes	58c	902.2$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes	58c	862.07$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	41c	800$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.51	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes	57c	700$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	118	37.3%44 W · 74 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	60c	641.07$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.64	430	58.6%252 W · 178 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No	43c	600$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No	43c	581.4$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.4	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255e…4979backed Yes	57c	526.32$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	59c	519$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.28	447	53.5%239 W · 208 L	+17.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	40c	399.99$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.99	225	51.6%116 W · 109 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes	61c	369.58$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	58c	267$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.86	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	39cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	60c	250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	137	52.6%72 W · 65 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes	59c	204.27$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes	54c	199.57$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	75c	187.18$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes	58c	177$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.89	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes	58c	171.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.63	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…5d2cbacked Yes	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No	22c	149.42$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.55	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes	60c	133.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked Yes	78c	127.13$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes	59c	125.42$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	41c	123$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.76	147	40.8%60 W · 87 L	-14.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked No	20c	120$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a93…0560backed Yes	59c	103.85$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-47%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes	58c	96.55$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	80	65%52 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	75c	96.39$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.06	223	73.1%163 W · 60 L	+20.4wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes	53c	96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.88	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc673…ca1ebacked Yes	74c	94.59$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	69cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes	79c	92$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.68	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Yes	58c	80.05$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.43	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes	70c	80$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.9	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	58c	72.41$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed No	43c	70$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.9	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes	59c	60$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes	58c	60$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…490fbacked Yes	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2276…307bbacked Yes	59c	50.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e5…81cbbacked Yes	76c	49.87$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed No	25c	48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.28per pick	43cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee1d…cc3abacked Yes	59c	46.66$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes	77c	45.19$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd99e…b859backed Yes	59c	42.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3922…c25ebacked Yes	58c	41.69$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Yes	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa9e…f0f9backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…31a3backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b7…32a7backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7475…2a10backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a21…0229backed Yes	53c	28.51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes	58c	20.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	75c	20.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…66afbacked Yes	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.2wins	-0.40per pick	52cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	93	53.8%50 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c18…b8cebacked Yes	59c	18.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Como win on 2025-09-15?this page
Will Como vs. Genoa end in a draw?Yes won
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-15?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Como win on 2025-09-15?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event