Serie A · resolved market
Will Como vs. Genoa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7f408a5a424e463ac06fdc05ec178d691f6aaad5d455926232c6fb3cda6c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 2,048$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.73 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed No | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 74c | 1,205$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.7 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,197$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 940.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 852.61$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.41 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 25c | 700$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 617$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 13c | 308.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.33 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 80c | 260$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…53a3backed Yes | 20c | 245$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 27c | 234.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 15c | 214.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 155.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +220%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 27c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 18c | 64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 26c | 52.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 74c | 43.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 26c | 40.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 74c | 40.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como vs. Genoa end in a draw?this page
- Will Como win on 2025-09-15?No won
- Will Genoa win on 2025-09-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.