Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4090f17a5deac9699d7f6514b8008e2fe16634af0f30d0541a0cf5b999ca07e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 53c | 4,622$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.05 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 48c | 2,370$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.12 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 51c | 2,245$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.09 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 48c | 2,045$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.4 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 1,504$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.39 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 52c | 1,355$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.62 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over | 47c | 920$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 48c | 720$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Over | 48c | 519.27$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over | 47c | 482.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Over | 48c | 410.15$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Over | 38c | 399.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 48c | 389.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 387.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 60c | 383.37$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 59c | 365.85$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.85 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Over | 61c | 327.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 43c | 307.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Over | 48c | 301.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 265.2$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 253.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 243.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 49c | 235.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Over | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…5106backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…d292backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 48c | 199.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 11c | 181.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 55c | 179.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…6e94backed Over | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.36per pick | 37cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 25c | 115.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d174backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 47c | 102.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 48c | 101.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 179 | 39.1%70 W · 109 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 53c | 91.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…40c9backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 54c | 71.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 40c | 69.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 46c | 63.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Over | 38c | 57.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 28c | 54.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 48c | 52.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…72dabacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 50.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b1eebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 37.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Under | 52c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Over | 49c | 30.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…4256backed Under | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…62c5backed Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Over | 48c | 25.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…8681backed Over | 45c | 24.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 190 | 63.7%121 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…3867backed Under | 56c | 18.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.